I know it’s anecdotal, but my black and Hispanic friends have been turning on Dems. I first started noticing it around 2019, when they didn’t like Trump, but they’d acknowledge they were doing better under him than Obama. Then I really started noticing it in 2021 when they started noticing things were getting worse. That’s when some of them started talking about not voting Democrat. It’s funny because some of them mentioned internal conflict/confusion because they had always voted Democrat.
Again, it’s anecdotal, but it’s what I’ve seen amongst my friends