Europe destined for conflict?


George Friedman (Stratfor) on the emerging conflict in Europe.

I'm still watching, but thought this might be interesting for teh OG.

It entirely possible Europe is heading for new conflict, most places are in fact, eventually. This guy just has a voice that puts me to sleep, so I don't think I will ever get far enough into his video to hear his opinion on how the next conflict will start. Some notes maybe?

Europe has always been in conflict.

Marcus Agrippa - It entirely possible Europe is heading for new conflict, most places are in fact, eventually. This guy just has a voice that puts me to sleep, so I don't think I will ever get far enough into his video to hear his opinion on how the next conflict will start. Some notes maybe?

He thinks the EU is a superficial covering over deep-rooted hatreds.

He thinks that the EU was basically designed by Germany, for its own benefit, and that this will inevitably anger the other nations, peeling off the above-mentioned superficial covering.

He thinks that the EU is institutionally incapable of dealing with the economic problems in Southern Europe, mainly because of its domination by Germany, which regards these problems as being due to "moral failings" of the frivolous Mediterranean untermenschen.

As these old hatreds re-ignite, revolutionary parties, either fascistic or socialistic, are likely to rise to power in the economically depressed nations of the Eurozone.

Meanwhile, Putin is doing his best to speed disintegration of the EU by proving to the "Eastern border" nations of the EU that there is really no sense of a "shared fate" among European nations. If Russia re-annexes Lithuania, the French are unlikely to go to the trenches. And this is becoming clear to the Lithuanians, Poles, etc.

From the last 10 minutes:

Russia wants at least a neutral country between itself and the west.

USA doesn't want a coalition between germany and russia.

The USA doesn't want Russia to expand, the line are the baltic states.

Germany wants the EU and the Euro Zone intact, for economic profit. Other countries, maybe not so much anymore.

The next 20 years of history will be decided by what German will do. As always in Europe.

 

For the rest Scythrop pretty much nailed it.

 

"He thinks the EU is a superficial covering over deep-rooted hatreds."

Hmm I have mixed feelings about the EU for sure, but honestly there really are no deep rooted hatreds left between EU countries. Quite surprising how the WW2 wounds healed up so well in fact. Apart from Russia of course, which is still living in a different century.