Sadly I’d say that line is about right where it should be.
I think we can all agree we watch the sport because the favorites who should win don’t always win so there is always a chance your favorite underdogs can find a way to win.
Fedor finished a highly ranked HW in under two minutes in his last fight and his only loss in his last 5 was to Bader.
Would just be epic if at 46 years old with not much of his chin left if Fedor could find a way to win.
Yeah I’m not talking about actually betting money on Fedor here, I’m just saying I think its a good line in that Fedor does have around a 20-25% chance to win here.
To me, the vig makes it a bad bet whether you take Fedor or Bader here but the people who only think Fedor has a 5% or 10% chance to win will be betting Bader here.
Personally, I’d like to think the current line reflects the reality of the situation.
Fedor will probably lose but I bet on him anyway. My hope is that he doesn’t get ko’ed and judging will be biased because it’s his retirement fight.
I also never had the opportunity to bet on Fedor. I’ve been watching him since his Pride debut. I figured I needed to do this before he is retired. But yeah — I’m ready to lose my money.
Fedor turns 47 this year. He’s still a great athlete with blazing speed, but when he’s finally done, I’d like to hear about the injuries he’s carried for the last decade or so.
His grappling and submissions have mostly disappeared, so I imagine he acquired some injuries that make grappling difficult in camps. Now he relies on his hand speed and power, far from the wrecking machine that chained all kinds of attacks and moves together. Not so nuanced now.
I’ve noticed his gas tank has declined, but that’s probably just age. He used to swarm people and keep a pace that few people could withstand.