China is a given, but I see India getting things together, 2030ish?
They are both far from it. 
The two countries where people casually piss and shit in public on the streets. 
China already has higher GDP than the US in PPP terms (i.e. controlling for the fact that prices are lower there). That means that while the USD value of their GDP is lower due to things being cheap their actual ability to produce and actual amount produced is higher.
If India keeps growing at 7% and the US at 2%, then India will overtake the US in just under 16 years.
Given the massive difference in population they already have the numbers advantage, all it would take is a decision to devote as much GDP proportion as the US to military and either would be unstoppable, IMO.
ryans -
China already has higher GDP than the US in PPP terms (i.e. controlling for the fact that prices are lower there). That means that while the USD value of their GDP is lower due to things being cheap their actual ability to produce and actual amount produced is higher.
If India keeps growing at 7% and the US at 2%, then India will overtake the US in just under 16 years.
Given the massive difference in population they already have the numbers advantage, all it would take is a decision to devote as much GDP proportion as the US to military and either would be unstoppable, IMO.
Inidia's GDP is 2 trillion for a population 5x the size of the US, who has a GDP of 18 trillion. at 7% growth it would take India 30 years to reach the US in GDP.
attjack - They are both far from it.
Lol @ people talking about China's GDP. They suspended their fucking stock market --this year.
But stable decades of positive linear growth is totally in their future. Ok.
SallymeetsHarrySack -ryans -China already has higher GDP than the US in PPP terms (i.e. controlling for the fact that prices are lower there). That means that while the USD value of their GDP is lower due to things being cheap their actual ability to produce and actual amount produced is higher.If India keeps growing at 7% and the US at 2%, then India will overtake the US in just under 16 years.Given the massive difference in population they already have the numbers advantage, all it would take is a decision to devote as much GDP proportion as the US to military and either would be unstoppable, IMO.<br /> <span class="User-352920" id="userPost58072396">Inidia's GDP is 2 trillion for a population 5x the size of the US, who has a GDP of 18 trillion. at 7% growth it would take India 30 years to reach the US in GDP.</span><br /> </blockquote>
Population isn't relevant since we're talking about GDP not GDP per capita. And you're not talking in PPP. I was very clear.
India 8.6 trillion GDP by purchasing power
US 18.6 trillion GDP by purchasing power
With growth differential of 5% it would take 15.8 years for India to overtake.
ryans -SallymeetsHarrySack -ryans -China already has higher GDP than the US in PPP terms (i.e. controlling for the fact that prices are lower there). That means that while the USD value of their GDP is lower due to things being cheap their actual ability to produce and actual amount produced is higher.If India keeps growing at 7% and the US at 2%, then India will overtake the US in just under 16 years.Given the massive difference in population they already have the numbers advantage, all it would take is a decision to devote as much GDP proportion as the US to military and either would be unstoppable, IMO.<br /> <span class="User-352920" id="userPost58072396">Inidia's GDP is 2 trillion for a population 5x the size of the US, who has a GDP of 18 trillion. at 7% growth it would take India 30 years to reach the US in GDP.</span><br /> </blockquote>
Population isn't relevant since we're talking about GDP not GDP per capita. And you're not talking in PPP. I was very clear.
India 8.6 trillion GDP by purchasing power
US 18.6 trillion GDP by purchasing power
With growth differential of 5% it would take 15.8 years for India to overtake.
Assuming the US has zero growth.
E55 Pilot -No assuming the US grows at 2% as I wrote above.ryans -SallymeetsHarrySack -ryans -China already has higher GDP than the US in PPP terms (i.e. controlling for the fact that prices are lower there). That means that while the USD value of their GDP is lower due to things being cheap their actual ability to produce and actual amount produced is higher.If India keeps growing at 7% and the US at 2%, then India will overtake the US in just under 16 years.Given the massive difference in population they already have the numbers advantage, all it would take is a decision to devote as much GDP proportion as the US to military and either would be unstoppable, IMO.<br /> <span class="User-352920" id="userPost58072396">Inidia's GDP is 2 trillion for a population 5x the size of the US, who has a GDP of 18 trillion. at 7% growth it would take India 30 years to reach the US in GDP.</span><br /> </blockquote>
Population isn't relevant since we're talking about GDP not GDP per capita. And you're not talking in PPP. I was very clear.
India 8.6 trillion GDP by purchasing power
US 18.6 trillion GDP by purchasing power
With growth differential of 5% it would take 15.8 years for India to overtake.
Assuming the US has zero growth.
What's wrong with you people?
As soon as their citizens stop shitting in the street would be a start
MagSlim - Lol @ people talking about China's GDP. They suspended their fucking stock market --this year.
But stable decades of positive linear growth is totally in their future. Ok.
Our GDP is great, trust us!
warmonky - China is a given, but I see India getting things together, 2030ish?
they are still shitting in the streets in India and china
Kindly - The two countries where people casually piss and shit in public on the streets.
Add most all Spanish speaking people / countries to that list.
Until the US dollar is removed from oil sales nobody will replace the US. Before that happens we will have a World War.
Not in our lifetime.
GDP is a good indicator but how can India be considered a super power when half the population still shits outside?
How can she slap?
Depends on what you mean by superpower.
The definition I go for Superpower is
1) Destroy with nuclear strike at any time any where in the world.
2) Project conventional force at any time any where in the world.
for #1, that would be USA and Russia - China doesn't have this capability.
for #2, only USA. Neither Russia or China has this ability.
Both #1 and #2 are reflections on the economic and technical power of the country...
Another thing to remember about China is that their per capita GDP is something like #80 in the world which ranks it in the same realm as most African countries.
Yes their GDP is huge but they have a shit ton of very very poor people.
As well China has massive demographic issues. Since they have no immigration, their population is rapidly getting old. The previous decades economic advance was due to their version of the baby boom. Due to one child policy and various other factors, they can't replace their workers fast enough and they are all getting old.
This will be a huge problem for China because their per capita GDP can not increase and there will be turmoil.
Countries like Japan are also aging but they are already rich and advanced with high per capita GDP and very generous social welfare programs.
There is about 0% chance of the Japanese overthrowing their government due to economic factors but very high chance of the Chinese communist party imploding due to a colour revolution for instance.
India has a lot of problems as well but their demographics is much better since they are a young country and will have increasing young to replace aging work force.
Someone mentioned they don't have a common language but this is wrong, the common language in India is English.
India also has a fairly stable government since they are a democratic country and if the populace are dissatisfied with the various fuck-ups of the current government, they can simply vote them out in the next election. There is an orderly and safe transition of power from one government to the next.
In contrast there is no such thing for the Chinese. They are still ruled by fiat by the Chinese Communist Party with no legitimate way of electing their government. The only option for the Chinese if they wish for change is to overthrow their government and that is why China is so scared of their own citizens and tries so many control measures like the censorship, arresting activists, the internet firewall etc...
When I think of a superpower I think of military might and economic power.