PatrickFreitas - ....Strikeforce is still around?<div> </div><div>
so far they've survived Hendo's loss, Jake's mutiny, Gina's destruction, Fedor's quick tap, and a CBS brawl. coker's show seems to have 9 lives.
interested like to hear the UG's thoughts on why this promotion manages to stick around. and also interested to hear the UG's predictions on SF's ability to maintain.
it hasn't even been a year since they've stepped foot on the national stage. Bodog, Pro-Elite, Affliction, IFL all had a longer shelf life than this.
Unfortunately though we're seeing Strikeforce go through the same patterns as all the others and we know what's coming because we've already seen the ending.
They all start out sounding like lions but then end up like lambs.
Pro-elite lasted as long as there was investor money to pillage. Same with IFL. It will be the same for Bellator and it will be the same for strikeforce. Strikeforce will be on the national stage as long as Showtime wants to subsidize it.
In every case though the money ran out or the "investor" pulled the plug.
And if Something big doesn't happen within the next 12 months Showtime will also pull the plug. Either a successful ppv, EA MMA game doing gangbusters (resulting in a new financial backer), or Getting back on CBS and doing great numbers garnering a more robust network deal.
None of those seem likely and a clear indicator on what showtime will decide will be what kind of Fight Contracts Coker starts signing in about 12 months. For the most part Showtime's budget for MMA is already set until then and that's when they'll decide what to do moving forward (renew deal, renegotiate or cancel).
The reason why they wont continue unless something drastic happens (like ppv, etc..) is because they're a premium channel and cant be seen competing with Free cable tv like Spike or versus (especially with an inferior product). They dont have any other programming that contradicts their business model and I dont think MMA will be the exception.
Before they were playing with Pro-Elite money and now they're playing with Shareholder money... if they cant make it with Strikeforce there wont be a new red headed step child to take its place.
They wanted to compete with the UFC but they are farther from that goal now than when they started (no closer to a ppv, horrendous CBS ratings, Fedor losing his mystique, Hendo losing, Gina leaving, etc... pretty much everything they invested in has been a bust). What's worse is that competing with the UFC is not a position where time is on your side. It's like running in quicksand... very hard to make progress or improve your position when everything you try just causes you to sink further down.
They just lost their best fighter (Jake Shields) to the UFC and they're signing Paul Daley. Market forces are a bitch and it's telling strikforce to either know your role or be forced into it.