Can you break down whyveach fighter got the % given? I’d be interested in seeing that
Hey man, sure thing.
Tyrone Woodley: 51% - High probability of keeping it standing and high KO probability but cardio issue.
Ben Askren: 50% - might be as good of a wrestler but hasnt faced great competition.
GSP: 40% - Bigger but the weight cut to 155 would make him an underdog.
Tony Ferguson: 35% Viscous from the bottom and high cardio.
Brian Ortega: 33% Improving at lightning speed, guillotines and triangles are lightning speed can pose issues.
Kevin Lee: 30% - If he can keep the fights tanding he has a big advantage.
Conor Mcgregor: 15% - According to fight metrics if you have KO power you have 10% chance of victory historically at a minimum. I give him 5 extra pct becaus ehe is so lucky.
Max Holloway: 15% - Volume KO power and crazy cardio is likely at 155.
James Vick: 12% KO power plus elbows and knees at a high level.
Alexander Hernandez: 10% - The unknown dark horse. Crazy speed and KO power.
Eddie Alvarez: 10% - KO right hand counter.
Dustin Poirer: 10% - Volume KO power
Al Iaquinta: 10% - KO power right hand.
Paul Felder: 10% - KO power
Edson Barboza: 5% - KO power but mentally broken.
Nick Diaz: 5% - Rag dolled very badly by RDA and unsire of how serious he is in MMA right now.
Anthony Pettis: 5%KO power but mentally not there to fight Khabib.
Justin Gaethje: 1% Lacks KO power and speed. 1% due to leg kicks.
Michael Chiesa: 0% - Horrific fight IQ, cardio and sub defense. No chance.