Teddy Atlas' Analysis on YouTube of the Rematch

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=VpBFpVWCaVs

My response on YouTube:

Let's also not overlook that Wilder's jab can go into the chest, as well as into that long body of Fury. There's tons of body real estate there for Wilder to land that right hand low to get Fury to move them big arms. Also, in Fury's clinch attempts he's moving a lot of weight forward, so it's exhausting to be in front and waste energy wrestling with him if he's pushing and stuffing your arms. You can't open up and get space if you meet him coming forward after he gets the clinch, so if you don't counter quick enough like Teddy said when Fury is on the way in, you have to come around the sides and counter to make him pay from angles. So spin around the side, step over and back in, hit that liver and them ribs, get behind that ear, make him pay, or if you are too late then at least push him around and get rough and not just let him hug it out. Make it uncomfortable and don't wait for the ref each time. Another tactic is what Andy Ruiz does, which is to lull the other guy during separation from the clinch like it's a routine step back away, but explode with a short crisp combination if you're not being separated by the ref. The other guy is supposed to protect himself at all times, but heavies get lazy and routine backing out of a clinch fest, and at some point just assume the opponent won't bring a combo outta nowhere as both guys are coming untangled and backing out. John Ruiz should've had a short career with his bullshit clinching, but for the most part he made a career of it when he was able to get away with it. You gotta use it against them because they're doing that shit to avoid getting into a mix where it's toe-to-toe and there's space, especially if they are tired, out of shape, or just big and slow, or scared, or just want to wear you down and frustrate you. Wilder can't let him do that for a long fight, he needs to force Fury into a fight and make him move more, which will wear him out early if he can't keep taking breaks by caressing Wilder like a newborn.

I agree with Teddy, I don't think Wilder is going to make a ton of adjustments because he only needs one or two to get a KO, but I definitely think he takes out Fury in the middle rounds before 10.

Fury doesn't want to feel the power so he will resort to the same habit of slipping to his right, also clinching, and not knowing what to do if Wilder starts countering the clinch to get him into a fight.  I assume Fury will begin to go straight back and all it will take is Wilder throwing a jab and coming staight with a follow-up right once he has Fury timed and predictable.  I think it'll come from Fury going back though, not from the tendency to his right.  I think Fury can easily be forced away from his movement right if Wilder does what Atlas said, brings that upper cut and also moves to his left to keep meeting Fury leaning toward that side.  

I don't see Fury winning.  He is gonna make mistakes because he's going to be a different fighter because he felt that right hand late and had to crawl up and barely survive.  He'll make mistakes trying too hard to avoid it. 

I think Wilder also beats Joshua but doesn't beat a focused and in-shape Andy Ruiz.  Like Joshua he's tailor for Andy's style against tall heavies, but Andy needs to get his shit together to be ready for it.  

Hey Rogan, I know you've read my shit before.  Leave a comment at some point, I don't always have time for all of your podcasts to catch your position.