Great event coming up. How do y’all see it going down? Some brief breakdowns below.
Izzy v. Vitori
Prediction: Izzy (60%)
Breakdown: Izzy’s cage defense is good, but his defense in space is not great. He is also not great at getting back to his feet. The question here is how he has improved since the Jan fight. I hope to see Izzy relying on the lean back strike defense less. I suspect we’ll see Vitori implement a strategy of doubling up his punches, getting Izzy to lean back, and then attacking takedowns in space. I’m picking Izzy because I think he’s way more dangerous on the feet, and because he still won 2 rounds against the heavier and better Jan B. But, Vitori has a clear path to victory.
Fig v. Moreno
Prediction: Fig (70%)
Breakdown: Fig would have won the first fight without the penalty point. I’m worried about Moreno’s chin after that fight, as he absorbed far more damage in the first fight (IMO). Moreno’s best chance for victory is increased use of the takedowns he got using step behinds/outside trips.
Edwards v. Diaz
Prediction: Edwards (80%)
I wonder if anyone can convince me why this won’t look like Rory v. Nate. Nate’s a good LW. He’s an average WW. Edwards is close to elite.