Frankie Saenz -165
Court McGee -115
John Moraga +120
Marcin Held -110
Risk $10.00
Win $116.13
Saenz has a lot of potential after seeing him smack Faber around. I like KillaBee, hate betting against him, but McGee wins a lot of gritty decisions, and this looks like one of those to me. Moraga is a tough match for Pettis, who hasn't looked as good as the hype his brother was getting him. JLau is the man, but he's got a lot of miles, I can see Held getting a leglock... but I'd give it to JLau if he can keep it on the feet and turn it into a war.
You just lost you lunch money.
FUCK this whole card for betting
The only locks I can see after a fuck ton of wasted research
(I'm a gambling degenerate who defo needs help)
Klose, and Sergio/moraga over 2.5
And Christenson
I'd consider Yair a lock but one I can't be arsed with the die hard Penn fans on here, and two at 1/5 odds well.. duh
For some reason I think Marcin held gets it done but I refuse to lay money with my heart
Betting small chunk on Nina, and smallie on Bj. No parlays for this card coz I'll be at work and can't watch live....
I've got Saenz, Killa B and J Lau and was pretty confident when I put it in. I guess we'll see OP!
suicidewatch - You just lost you lunch money.
lol, not trying to get rich, just a fun bet to sweeten the action
Darkn3t - FUCK this whole card for betting
The only locks I can see after a fuck ton of wasted research
(I'm a gambling degenerate who defo needs help)
Klose, and Sergio/moraga over 2.5
And Christenson
I'd consider Yair a lock but one I can't be arsed with the die hard Penn fans on here, and two at 1/5 odds well.. duh
For some reason I think Marcin held gets it done but I refuse to lay money with my heart
The Yair vs BJ fight is a mess. Yair obviously wins it, and yet, you just can't bet against BJ. Value-wise, BJ's probably even a decent dog bet. But I just can't bring myself to touch this one.
Marcin Held vs JLau. God. I feel like a douche for betting against JLau, but there it is. Having said that, there's lots of ways for JLau to win this fight, it's very VERY winnable for him. In particular, Held can get tricked into playing that Diaz bros game where he fights off his back. JLau's definitely got the ground chops to put the fight there, but then I could also see him roughing him up from inside Held's guard. Strange fight to bet on, now that I'm awake, I probably would have avoided it (not a great idea to place bets coming off a night shift!). At the same time, every fighter comes to a point in their career where they've been in one too many wars. I think I was banking on that being true here.
Best of luck to all fighters, especially JLau and KillaBee who are regulars here. I truly hope they prove me wrong.
KirkBJJ -I've got Saenz, Killa B and J Lau and was pretty confident when I put it in. I guess we'll see OP!
My heart is rooting for KillaB, but I just can't get past Court's ability to squeak out those split D's. The safer bet probably would have been on this fight going all three rounds.
Court vs KillaB goes all 3 rounds: -170 ... which isn't bad.
BJ vs Yair: +240 ... that's a very decent value! I don't see Yair finishing BJ, no matter which BJ shows up. And I don't see BJ winning. So I guess that means I believe it's Yair by DEC.
jgiveshead -Feel your points on everything mateDarkn3t - FUCK this whole card for betting
The only locks I can see after a fuck ton of wasted research
(I'm a gambling degenerate who defo needs help)
Klose, and Sergio/moraga over 2.5
And Christenson
I'd consider Yair a lock but one I can't be arsed with the die hard Penn fans on here, and two at 1/5 odds well.. duh
For some reason I think Marcin held gets it done but I refuse to lay money with my heart
The Yair vs BJ fight is a mess. Yair obviously wins it, and yet, you just can't bet against BJ. Value-wise, BJ's probably even a decent dog bet. But I just can't bring myself to touch this one.
Marcin Held vs JLau. God. I feel like a douche for betting against JLau, but there it is. Having said that, there's lots of ways for JLau to win this fight, it's very VERY winnable for him. In particular, Held can get tricked into playing that Diaz bros game where he fights off his back. JLau's definitely got the ground chops to put the fight there, but then I could also see him roughing him up from inside Held's guard. Strange fight to bet on, now that I'm awake, I probably would have avoided it (not a great idea to place bets coming off a night shift!). At the same time, every fighter comes to a point in their career where they've been in one too many wars. I think I was banking on that being true here.
Best of luck to all fighters, especially JLau and KillaBee who are regulars here. I truly hope they prove me wrong.
For me Marcin and joe are carbon copy's of one another,
Except when I watched joe fight Miller I remember being so nervous with his stand up, and held is that much younger and I thought he looked decent against Diego and probably gassed himself out, one due to elevation and two that guillotine that he held too long in round 1
In short, i feel Marcin has more to show
I think Pettis, Saunders and Lauzon win.
Brabatross - I think Pettis, Saunders and Lauzon win.
I'm not sure what to think about Pettis vs Moraga, except that people tend to be high on Pettis on account of Anthony Pettis, and people tend to forget about Moraga fighting for the title very recently.
Edit: I guess it wasn't that recently (2013).
jgiveshead -Pettis is still young and seems to be getting better after every fight. I expect him to win pretty convincingly.Brabatross - I think Pettis, Saunders and Lauzon win.
I'm not sure what to think about Pettis vs Moraga, except that people tend to be high on Pettis on account of Anthony Pettis, and people tend to forget about Moraga fighting for the title very recently.
Brabatross -You earned your lunch moneyjgiveshead -Pettis is still young and seems to be getting better after every fight. I expect him to win pretty convincingly.Brabatross - I think Pettis, Saunders and Lauzon win.
I'm not sure what to think about Pettis vs Moraga, except that people tend to be high on Pettis on account of Anthony Pettis, and people tend to forget about Moraga fighting for the title very recently.
jgiveshead -How was lunch. I didn't eat yesterday but ate today. :)suicidewatch - You just lost you lunch money.
lol, not trying to get rich, just a fun bet to sweeten the action
suicidewatch -jgiveshead -How was lunch. I didn't eat yesterday but ate today. :)suicidewatch - You just lost you lunch money.
lol, not trying to get rich, just a fun bet to sweeten the action
LOL, there should be a special olympics award for picking every fight wrong in a parlay. I'm your Michael Phelps.