Poured in on Pulver? Has there been any movement in the lines?
I just took a play against Randelman. I see that as the easiest money of the night (aside from the -800 type fights which I would tend to avoid unless going with the dog).
I was quite surprised to see Pinnacle have Cro Cop at -330 when www.betoddessa.com is at -380 and www.sportsbook.com is -450. I thought -330 was a gift.
Has there been any movement on the Vazquez - Simonyan fight? I don't think this fight is being televised is it?
Saw some early Vazquez cash at -250 at Pinny. Reason Pulver hasnt moved is b/c of the anticipation of Gomi money late. Gomi by Dec isnt outa the question. I usually stand pat on my opinions. After all, Danny Sheridan ........is like 24-3 in his MMA Stuff. I am comfortable booking my opinions, esp at BetOddessa.
Ah hah. I see what you're saying on Gomi-Pulver and I tend to agree. I was sort of surprised early monmey was coming in big on Pulver. I guess he is just so popular.
LOL. If we start listening to Danny Sheridan on UFC bets, we might all end up homeless. I guess he has gotten a bunch right, but I am not real sure how.
Looks like some interesting odds. Something I've noticed studying statistics in general, and Odessa pointed this out a couple months as well, is that people very seldom "put their money where their mouth is". Namely, they'll talk forever about how one fighter will destroy or crush another fighter but are hesitant to bet on it.
I'd like to see some of these guys saying how they are 100% sure Terrell will KILL Tanner to really sell their cars and place it all on Terrell. I saw this happen once when I was a child - it was for the Ali-Foreman fight and a guy named Bill Hutchison (RIP, Hutch) gathered all his money, sold a few things, and but every penny he had on Ali. I believe the odds were 6-1 for Foreman. Rare to see words backed up like this.
I have been playing the horses for 20 years and only in the past several years can I honestly say that I now have become consistently profitable year in and year out (before I had some good times and bad). That took sticking to statistics (trainer stats primarily) and also betting a consistent amount (or within a tight range). My point is if you bet the farm on any one bet, you are sitting yourself up for absolute disaster.
I liked your story on Foreman though. That took some conviction because I do remember (also as a kid) that everyone thought Foreman would kill Ali.
The best killing I ever made in the fight game was nailing Holyfield at 16-1 in his first fight against Tyson. I had serious conviction on that fight because I had always believed Tyson was overated and Holyfield underated. Holyfield had some negatives going against him but I bet that he would rise to the occaison for the number one fight he had wanted all of his career.
Also, for horses and MMA, I have stuck to the plan of overlays (underdogs) for the most part but in boxing, I follow a formula of mostly well placed favorites and it has worked for a number of years.
Better not get rolling too much on this subject that excites me.
I always wait to bet the overlayed numbers , because I am fairly confident the opening number has been stronger than the closing number the past year or so in MMA.
Not to but in on a Q directed at Odessa, but I think Neteller is the absolute easiest. I send everything direcetly from my bank accounts into Neteller and within seconds, the sportsbook is funded (if using Insta Cash). Most all sportsbooks cover charges from Neteller going in and at least one per month coming out.
I watch boxing and MMA lines a lot. My only enduring advantage is to wait for the fights where "fan money" will skew the odds compared to how they should be realistically.
For example, Ken being an 8-5 dog against Tito at fight time, or Oscar De La Hoya opening at 8-5 for Hopkins (Before Oscar squeaked by Sturm and the lines went closer to 3-1).
The rest of the time it's pretty tough to get ahead. Although I notice that UFC first timers tend to be more of an underdog than they should simply because name value gives more action on the known quantity.
"The rest of the time it's pretty tough to get ahead. Although I notice that UFC first timers tend to be more of an underdog than they should simply because name value gives more action on the known quantity."