nice analysis, chad!
The two year layoff allowed Tito to grow into the 160 pound frame he now occupies, and Winky is not known as a power puncher at all at 154. I wouldn't say Mayorga rocked Tito; it was more of Tito being off balance that led to the knockdown in round 3. I think Tito knows that Winky can't hurt him, which will give him the automatic confidence to move forward from the outset of the fight. Even if he does his normal slow starting routine and Winky takes the early initiative and pushes Trinidad back, Mayorga had Trinidad going backwards and it didn't work out too well for him. Trinidad seems to have improved his footwork and side to side movement during the two year layoff as well, so even if Winky is able to push Tito back, I don't think Tito will have as many problems as a lot of other people do. I say Trinidad by KO after annihilating Winky's body sometime around the 8th or 9th round.
I like Winky in this one