Serious responses please with rationale behind your choice.
Please, no predictable "GSP can't finish a ham sandwich" jokes.
Most people wouldnt, because most people talk shit but have no balls in order to put their money up.
Such is the life of an internet MMA fan.
diaz is a tough son of a bitch, but i could see the fight getting stopped due to a cut
This translates to ~30% chance apparently.
I believe this a good deal given Diaz's durability, chin, cardio, and a dangerous guard that could stifle GSP's GnP.
Other considerations:
GSP as of late hasn't looked as explosive. Also, he couldn't inflict much damage thru GnP against Hardy and Alves who have less threatening guards than Diaz.
Unless Diaz gets cut 
so i have to bet 250 to win 100 that GSP wins by decision? sure why not
Gaspare - Unless Diaz gets cut <img src="/images/phone/post_tag.png" alt="Phone Post" border="0" style="vertical-align:middle;"/>
that has crossed my mind. But ever since Diaz has had his scar tissu removed through surgery, it's become a non-issue in his subsequent fights.
ILoveWatchingJonesBoneShogun - so i have to bet 250 to win 100 that GSP wins by decision? sure why not
no.
OP says "GSP does not finish".
Meaning a Diaz finish, a Diaz DEC win, or a GSP DEC win would all pay.
is that right OP?
GSP has had trouble putting people away
1 stoppage in his last 6 fights.
(BJ quit)
Diaz hasn't been stopped in 3 years, or 10 fights.
(and only stopped twice his entire career)
The smart money says GSP does NOT finish
Diaz cuts easily. I can see this being a blood bath and the fight ends up being stopped by the doctor
Ad 10d - Diaz cuts easily. I can see this being a blood bath and the fight ends up being stopped by the doctor
This has happened ONCE to diaz.
When was the last time GSP cut someone?
GSP has been winning decisions lately, Diaz is almost impossible to finish
Yes, its a good bet. And even though im a diehard Diaz fan, I will be placing it myself
what site has these props?
80% chance gsp beats diaz by dec imo
Alright thanks for your input.
does he have to win to collect?
FenceGrab - GSP has had trouble putting people awayBJ was TKO'd
1 stoppage in his last 6 fights.
(BJ quit)
TKO = Stoppage
FenceGrab - GSP has had trouble putting people away
1 stoppage in his last 6 fights.
(BJ quit)
Diaz hasn't been stopped in 3 years, or 10 fights.
(and only stopped twice his entire career)
The smart money says GSP does NOT finish
GSP couldn't finish a wounded sandwich. Diaz is not getting finished. This fight either goes to a decision or Diaz finishes GSP
only -250? yes!