Betting the house on McGregor

A motivated Conor can beat anyone not named Khabib. There’s more than just a win on the line for Conor. It’s his whole brand. With two losses in a row to Poirier, it can decimate his value. This is for all of MMA imo.

I also want Conor to win after Poirier’s charity threats earlier this year. Definitely lost a fan after that.

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Poirier to Connor Saturday night
Ice Cube Knockout GIF

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Conor is not the fighter he was 5 years ago. It’s not a matter of flipping a switch and turning on the old magic. His hourglass is out of sand. History will view this fight as an obviously diminished McGregor’s final failed attempt to reclaim his standing as an elite fighter.

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I’ve got some cardboard boxes you may have for shelter OP.

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McGregor can certainly win but I’m with Khabib if he doesn’t hurt Dustin early I don’t like his chances

Just my 2 cents but I like Dustin in this one he’s got patience and Conor will probably come out swinging in the first with something to prove.

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I’d pick a different fight if I were you. So many ways this can go

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Why do you care what Conor’s “value” is? I certainly hope he gets his block knocked off again. It will be good for the division. 155 was a total shit show when Conor was champ. So many fighters got screwed as Conor got to pick and choose and never defend. 155 is probably the best its been. Dustin vs Chaz O would be the rightful championship fight.

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He knocked Diaz down three times in the first 7 minutes of their second fight and still had to dog (or jog) out the win.

I think Dustin wins but we’ve seen Conor win a gritty, five round decision against a relentless opponent in that second Diaz fight.

I believe IF Conor wins, that’s how he does it this time, too. In fact, I think there are several similarities between the Diaz series and this one, the biggest of which is Conor expected to simply waltz through both guys and got a RUDE awakening (or sleeping).

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Didnt watch any ufc vidoes about the fight, but saw few photos, conor has a chance but wont try very hard

Don’t really care about his value but I care that he does a lot for MMA. This will be a big show with lots of excitement. I was just trying to emphasize that he has a lot on the line and should be motivated (hopefully).

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Conor is always susceptible to a loss. He just had one great run. He has overachieved imo.

He has 4 or 5 good wins in his whole career. The rest are low level.

Res. Record Opponent Method Event Date Round Time Location Notes
Loss 22–5 Dustin Poirier TKO (punches) UFC 257 24 January 2021 2 2:32 Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Win 22–4 Donald Cerrone TKO (head kick and punches) UFC 246 18 January 2020 1 0:40 Las Vegas, Nevada, United States Welterweight bout. Performance of the Night.
Loss 21–4 Khabib Nurmagomedov Submission (neck crank) UFC 229 6 October 2018 4 3:03 Las Vegas, Nevada, United States For the UFC Lightweight Championship.
Win 21–3 Eddie Alvarez TKO (punches) UFC 205 12 November 2016 2 3:04 New York City, New York, United States Won the UFC Lightweight Championship. Performance of the Night. Later stripped of the title due to inactivity.
Win 20–3 Nate Diaz Decision (majority) UFC 202 20 August 2016 5 5:00 Las Vegas, Nevada, United States Fight of the Night.
Loss 19–3 Nate Diaz Submission (rear-naked choke) UFC 196 5 March 2016 2 4:12 Las Vegas, Nevada, United States Welterweight debut. Fight of the Night.
Win 19–2 José Aldo KO (punch) UFC 194 12 December 2015 1 0:13 Las Vegas, Nevada, United States Won and unified the UFC Featherweight Championship. Performance of the Night. Stripped of the title after winning the lightweight title in November 2016.
Win 18–2 Chad Mendes TKO (punches) UFC 189 11 July 2015 2 4:57 Las Vegas, Nevada, United States Won the interim UFC Featherweight Championship. Performance of the Night.
Win 17–2 Dennis Siver TKO (punches) UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs. Siver 18 January 2015 2 1:54 Boston, Massachusetts, United States Performance of the Night.
Win 16–2 Dustin Poirier TKO (punches) UFC 178 27 September 2014 1 1:46 Las Vegas, Nevada, United States Performance of the Night.
Win 15–2 Diego Brandão TKO (punches) UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs. Brandão 19 July 2014 1 4:05 Dublin, Ireland Performance of the Night.
Win 14–2 Max Holloway Decision (unanimous) UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Sonnen 17 August 2013 3 5:00 Boston, Massachusetts, United States
Win 13–2 Marcus Brimage TKO (punches) UFC on Fuel TV: Mousasi vs. Latifi 6 April 2013 1 1:07 Stockholm, Sweden Return to Featherweight. Knockout of the Night.
Win 12–2 Ivan Buchinger KO (punch) Cage Warriors: 51 31 December 2012 1 3:40 Dublin, Ireland Won the Cage Warriors Lightweight Championship.
Win 11–2 Dave Hill Submission (rear-naked choke) Cage Warriors: 47 2 June 2012 2 4:10 Dublin, Ireland Won the Cage Warriors Featherweight Championship.
Win 10–2 Steve O’Keefe KO (elbows) Cage Warriors: 45 18 February 2012 1 1:35 London, England Return to Featherweight.
Win 9–2 Aaron Jahnsen TKO (punches) Cage Warriors: Fight Night 2 8 September 2011 1 3:29 Amman, Jordan
Win 8–2 Artur Sowinski TKO (punches) Celtic Gladiator 2: Clash of the Giants 11 June 2011 2 1:12 Portlaoise, Ireland Return to Lightweight.
Win 7–2 Paddy Doherty KO (punch) Immortal Fighting Championship 4 16 April 2011 1 0:04 Letterkenny, Ireland
Win 6–2 Mike Wood KO (punches) Cage Contender 8 12 March 2011 1 0:16 Dublin, Ireland Return to Featherweight.
Win 5–2 Hugh Brady TKO (punches) Chaos FC 8 12 February 2011 1 2:31 Derry, Northern Ireland
Loss 4–2 Joseph Duffy Submission (arm-triangle choke) Cage Warriors 39: The Uprising 27 November 2010 1 0:38 Cork, Ireland
Win 4–1 Connor Dillon TKO (corner stoppage) Chaos FC 7 9 October 2010 1 4:22 Derry, Northern Ireland Featherweight bout.
Win 3–1 Stephen Bailey TKO (punches) K.O.: The Fight Before Christmas 12 December 2008 1 1:22 Dublin, Ireland Lightweight debut.
Loss 2–1 Artemij Sitenkov Submission (kneebar) Cage of Truth 3 28 June 2008 1 1:09 Dublin, Ireland
Win 2–0 Mo Taylor TKO (punches) Cage Rage Contenders - Ireland vs. Belgium 3 May 2008 1 1:06 Dublin, Ireland
Win 1–0 Gary Morris TKO (punches) Cage of Truth 2 8 March 2008 2 0:08 Dublin, Ireland Featherweight debut.
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Conor is not the type of fighter to get caught with the same thing twice.
I doubt the leg kicks work again.
Porier might try taking him down and holding him there.
I’m leaning towards conor and if it’s a close fight that goes the distance he’ll definitely get the judges decision.

To me Poirer seems to be performing better right now, going to bet $50 on the Diamond lol.

Yeah I got quite a bit on Poirier straight at -110 and by KO,TKO,SUB at +140

line (Poirier) has moved to -120 to -130 most online places

Except he gets caught with the lack of cardio every time.

If this goes past round 1, he’s done as usual.

He can’t fix that.

UFC 264: MCGREGOR VS. POIRIER 3 ODDS MOVEMENT

ODDS: DUSTIN POIRIER VS. CONOR MCGREGOR (7/10/21)
Fighter Open 5/8 5/17 6/6 6/19 7/4 7/5


Dustin Poirier -105 -110 -110 -110 -110 -120 -120
Conor McGregor -115 -110 -110 -110 -110 +100 +110

UFC 264: MCGREGOR VS. POIRIER 3 ODDS COMPARISON

MCGREGOR VS. POIRIER 3 - MONEY LINE ODDS (7/10/21)
Fighters


Conor McGregor +100 +107 +108 +100
Dustin Poirier -120 -128 -130 -125

Last fight.
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
(L) Conor McGregor (-333) vs. Dustin Poirier (+250)

Card,

UFC 264 BETTING CARD

MAIN CARD

ESPN+ subscribers can get a discount on UFC 264 via ESPN PPV

  • Lightweight Bout : Dustin Poirier (-120) vs. Conor McGregor(+100)
  • Welterweight Bout : Gilbert Burns (+145) vs. Stephen Thompson (-175)
  • Heavyweight Bout : Tai Tuivasa (-135) vs. Greg Hardy (+110)
  • Women’s Bantamweight Bout : Irene Aldana (-120) vs. Yana Kunitskaya (+100)
  • Bantamweight Bout : Sean O’Malley (-900) vs. Kris Moutinho (+600)

PRELIMINARY CARD

Check out all the fights on ESPN+

  • Welterweight Bout : Carlos Condit (+165) vs. Max Griffin (-200)
  • Welterweight Bout : Niko Price (+130) vs. Michel Pereira (-155)
  • Featherweight Bout : Ilia Topuria (-250) vs. Ryan Hall (+195)
  • Middleweight Bout : Dricus du Plessis (-120) vs. Trevin Giles (+100)

One thing about Conor, I’ve never seen any other fighter who wears their exhaustion so openly on their face. He literally turns into a droopy mouthed sad sack with a “please God help me out here” expression after about 4 minutes.

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He might not be able to match kabib or nates output over 5 rounds but he can match Dustin’s.

Dustin will be just as motivated. And I’m sure the first thing ATT thought of when the were game-planning the fight was Conor having an answer to the calf-kicks and turning back to clock to Karate Conor.

I think Conor will try to blitz him early like he did Cerrone.