If Tyson doesn’t come in the shape he did against Franny, there is no way he is out-pointing 85" reach Fury. Usyk is a Heavyweight Boxing World Champion. A good punch is always on the table.
I’ll pick Fury by close decision and a few scares on both sides along the way. Usyk is very skilled and so is Fury. Maybe Fury’s abuse of his body will finally catch up with him. I think the size disparity is a factor but it’s not any kind of surprise. Fury is not a powerful puncher compared to the top echelon of heavyweight boxers. He does have an excellent chin though. I think both guys are very ring smart when properly switched on. This will be a significantly tougher fight for Fury than Deyontay ever was. Wilder can hit really, incredibly hard but his level of skill and ring smarts are extremely low compared to Usyk. I think Fury will have a good game plan to lean on Usyk and tax him that way by making him carry his weight throughout the fight.