I see this happen to delusional fighters all the time, they think they’ll blow the guy out in the first round, and when they don’t they break and get finished. Especially how much he’s underestimating Islam’s striking, striking defence and takedowns. Charles is in for a rude awakening.
We’re also talking about the best submission artist in UFC history and Islam has to deal with that - not Dan Hooker or Bobby Green - to impose his game. Oliveira needs seconds to end it. Islam needs several grueling rounds if not the distance.
What is it that keeps guys from using elbows from the guard more often like KenFlo did? Seems to me like if you had a flexible guard it would be something to strategize for. Oliveira with his long limbs & good guard should be able wreak havoc from guard.
Having the most subs does not make you the best submission artist. It just means fought and subbed a bunch of not so great grapplers. He’s gotten subbed himself numerous times by mediocre grapplers like Jim Miller, Paul Felder and Pettis.
I don’t have a stake in this match. I like both guys for different reasons and I don’t care who wins. Islam may well smother him and Charles may well sleep him. Should be a good fight. Stylistically it’s an interesting match up.